Inganda zirwaye amashanyarazi yagabanijwe zishobora gufasha gutwara ibintu neza kurubugaizuba, hamwe n’ibikorwa biherutse gutegekwa kuvugurura PV ku nyubako zisanzwe nabyo bishobora kuzamura isoko, nkuko umusesenguzi Frank Haugwitz abisobanura.

Habayeho ingamba zitandukanye zafashwe n’abayobozi b’Ubushinwa kugira ngo bagabanye imyuka ihumanya ikirere impact imwe mu ngaruka zihuse z’izo politiki ni uko gukwirakwiza amashanyarazi akomoka ku mirasire y'izuba byagize akamaro gakomeye, kubera ko bifasha inganda gukoresha, ku mbuga, ingufu zazo zituruka mu karere, akenshi usanga bihendutse cyane kuruta amashanyarazi yatanzwe - cyane cyane mumasaha yo gukenera cyane.Kugeza ubu, impuzandengo yo kwishyura ya sisitemu yo hejuru y’ubucuruzi n’inganda (C&I) mu Bushinwa ni imyaka igera kuri 5-6. Byongeye kandi, kohereza izuba hejuru y’inzu bizafasha kugabanya ibirenge bya karuboni no gushingira ku mashanyarazi y’amakara.

Mu mpera za Kanama Ikigo cy’igihugu gishinzwe ingufu mu Bushinwa (NEA) cyemeje gahunda nshya y’icyitegererezo igamije guteza imbere ikoreshwa ry’izuba rya PV.Kubera iyo mpamvu, mu mpera za 2023, inyubako zisanzwe zizasabwa gushiraho asisitemu yo hejuru ya PV.

Muri manda, ijanisha ntarengwa ryinyubako rizasabwa gushirahoizuba PV, hamwe n'ibisabwa ku buryo bukurikira: inyubako za leta (zitari munsi ya 50%);inzego rusange (40%);umutungo w'ubucuruzi (30%);n'inyubako zo mu cyaro (20%), mu ntara 676, zizasabwa kugira asisitemu yo hejuru y'izuba.Dufashe MW 200-250 kuri buri ntara, ibisabwa byose biva muri iyi gahunda byonyine birashobora kuba biri hagati ya 130 na 170 GW mu mpera za 2023.

Icyerekezo cya hafi

Hatitawe ku ngaruka za politiki ya karuboni ebyiri n’uburyo bubiri bwo kugenzura, mu byumweru umunani bishize ibiciro bya polysilicon byariyongereye - kugera ku mafaranga 270 / kg ($ 41.95).

Mu mezi make ashize, kuva mu bihe bigoye ukajya mu gihe gito-cyo kugemura, ikibazo cyo gutanga polysilicon cyatumye amasosiyete ariho kandi mashya atangaza ko ashaka kubaka ubushobozi bushya bwo gukora polysilicon cyangwa kongera ibikoresho bihari.Dukurikije ibigereranyo biheruka gukorwa, mugihe imishinga 18 yose ya poly iteganijwe gukorwa ubu, toni miliyoni 3 zose zumusaruro wa polysilicon wumwaka ushobora kongerwaho muri 2025-2026.

Nyamara, mu gihe cya vuba, ibiciro bya polysilicon biteganijwe ko bizakomeza kuba hejuru, bitewe n’inyongera zitangwa ziza kuri interineti mu mezi abiri ari imbere, kandi kubera ihinduka ryinshi ry’ibisabwa kuva mu 2021 kugeza mu mwaka utaha.Mu byumweru bike bishize, intara zitabarika zemeje imiyoboro ikomoka ku mirasire y'izuba ifite imibare ibiri-gigawatt, umubare munini uteganijwe guhuzwa na gride bitarenze Ukuboza umwaka utaha.

Kuri iki cyumweru, mu kiganiro n’abanyamakuru, abahagarariye NEA mu Bushinwa batangaje ko, hagati ya Mutarama na Nzeri, hashyizweho GW 22 z’amashanyarazi mashya y’amashanyarazi akomoka ku mirasire y’izuba, ibyo bikaba byiyongereyeho 16%, umwaka ku mwaka.Urebye ibyagezweho vuba aha, Inama ngishwanama ya Aziya y’uburayi isukuye (Solar) ivuga ko mu 2021 isoko rishobora kwiyongera hagati ya 4% na 13%, umwaka ku mwaka - 50-55 GW - bityo bikarenga 300 GW.

Frank Haugwitz ni umuyobozi w’inama ngishwanama ya Aziya y’Uburayi (Solar).